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2024-12-13 04:44:40

At noon today, I was particularly emotional. In this special period and state (facing severe challenges from the outside), technical analysis has indeed become obviously ineffective.Next, we use technical analysis to solve an important problem. When will the market meet the stage minimum? Where is the next pressure point of the market?The short-term peak time node is likely to be tomorrow. Or the last trading day. Why do you say that? Please look at the chart below-the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index.


In fact, I am still very sure about today's market adjustment. But as you can see, no matter how weak the market is, there will be a powerful force to pull the index up instantly. The heavy meeting set the tone of "stabilizing the stock market and the property market", but today the news is warm again. Today, I really feel that "the market really can't fall", and the market may not fall in its current position.Next, we use technical analysis to solve an important problem. When will the market meet the stage minimum? Where is the next pressure point of the market?At the close, the three major indexes rose significantly. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.85%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1%, and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by 1.35. As of the close, the turnover of the two cities was 1.89 trillion, 89 billion more than the previous trading day. Judging from today's closing, the A-share market once again showed a strong side. In the case of obvious diving in the morning time-sharing chart, deep V reversal again! Finally, the increase in volume was realized. This trend is quite different from the trend I predicted yesterday. It seems that my point of view has been attacked by the main force again.


Then, from the main tone of the market, the whole should look up, and it can only be like this at present! Therefore, the following technical analysis is purely for reference. Because I have to say that the current technical analysis does have obvious failure.From the above figure, we can find that the previous downtrend band took 14 trading days. I still remember that at that time, we predicted the time window of the index low one trading week in advance. The theory used at that time was the time period of 13. From the high point to the low point, the 13th day will reach the Fibonacci time window. And of course, if it arrives tomorrow, there will be the 13th trading day from low to high, if it happens that there will be a stage high tomorrow. It is easy to become a small turning point in the stage. This is pure theoretical analysis.Second, where is the next high point of the market? I think this is relatively simple. If the market comes near 3509 tomorrow, I think this position is an important short-term target. Or slightly over 3509 points, we can also regard it as a short-term peak position.

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